Signal Ledger
Nothing is edited or deleted after publication. Resolutions are appended with their evidence.
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 849 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed last month · 2026-08-18 04:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 849 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed last month · 2026-08-18 04:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of OR, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 298 km of Jordan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 405 km of MT, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 357 km of HI, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 693 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 693 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 348 km of OK, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 348 km of OK, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 583 km of AL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 298 km of Jordan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 561 km of IL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 654 km of AZ, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Seismic: 67% chance of at least one M5.0+ earthquake within 654 km of AZ, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 348 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 846 km of OH, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 561 km of IL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 270 km of HI, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 846 km of OH, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of US, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 290 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 305 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of US, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 622 km of India in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 524 km of Ghana in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 255 km of HI, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 524 km of Ghana in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 622 km of India in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 305 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 290 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 50 km of United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 348 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 207 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 852 km of PA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 852 km of PA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 538 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 534 km of Israel in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 938 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 438 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 538 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 207 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 438 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 938 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 534 km of Israel in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 517 km of ID, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 521 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 468 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 521 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 642 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 751 km of IN, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 259 km of NC, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 468 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 642 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 194 km of HI, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 751 km of IN, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 158 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 639 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 639 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 491 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 517 km of ID, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 103 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 532 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 689 km of Ukraine in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 313 km of Russia in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
69%
62–76%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 532 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 491 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.