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100critical

Global Tremor Score

critical

422 signals ingested in the last 24 hours across 3 active domains. Highest convergence: Sudan (nationwide) at 100/100.

Clusters 24h

6

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0

Brier score

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n=0

Convergence

Where signals from independent domains overlap in space and time.

All signals

Sudan (nationwide)

6 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
EconomicGeopolitical

Sudan (nationwide) is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Sudan: coverage of coercive events 3.333σ above its 14-day baseline across 25 articles, led by Sudan (military); Sudan: coverage of coercive events 6.838σ above its 14-day baseline across 47 articles, led by Sudan; Sudan: coverage of coercive events 4.282σ above its 14-day baseline across 30 articles, led by Civilian (civilians); Sudan: coverage of coercive events 2.773σ above its 14-day baseline across 21 articles, led by Sudan.

Somalia (nationwide)

3 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
EconomicGeopolitical

Somalia (nationwide) is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.10× convergence multiplier to a base score of 91.23. Contributing signals: Somalia: coverage of coercive events 27.451σ above its 14-day baseline across 160 articles, led by Minneapolis; Somalia: coverage of coercive events 4.49σ above its 14-day baseline across 27 articles, led by Minneapolis; 10y-2y curve at 0.46 (-0.476σ vs trailing year).

Minnesota, North Dakota and 2 more, United States

5 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
AtmosphericEconomic

Minnesota, North Dakota and 2 more, United States is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (atmospheric, economic), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Freeze Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Minnesota; Freeze Warning — 1 active NWS alert in North Dakota; Flood Watch — 1 active NWS alert in Wisconsin; Flood Watch — 1 active NWS alert in Illinois.

Namibia (nationwide)

3 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
EconomicGeopolitical

Namibia (nationwide) is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.23× convergence multiplier to a base score of 81.37. Contributing signals: Namibia: coverage of coercive events 5.866σ above its 14-day baseline across 30 articles, led by Namibia; Namibia: coverage of coercive events 3.873σ above its 14-day baseline across 20 articles, led by Government (government); 10y-2y curve at 0.46 (-0.476σ vs trailing year).

Haiti (nationwide); Jamaica (nationwide) and 2 more

7 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
AtmosphericEconomicGeopolitical

Haiti (nationwide); Jamaica (nationwide) and 2 more is scoring 100/100. 3 domains overlap here (atmospheric, economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Haiti: coverage of coercive events 4.084σ above its 14-day baseline across 24 articles, led by Deputies (police); Jamaica: coverage of coercive events 6.148σ above its 14-day baseline across 32 articles, led by Jamaica; Flash Flood Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Puerto Rico; Jamaica: coverage of coercive events 5.754σ above its 14-day baseline across 30 articles, led by Constable (police).

Switzerland (nationwide), France (nationwide) and 4 more

15 signals · formed 18 minutes ago

100

critical
EconomicGeopolitical

Switzerland (nationwide), France (nationwide) and 4 more is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Switzerland: coverage of coercive events 10.077σ above its 14-day baseline across 52 articles, led by Switzerland; France: coverage of coercive events 2.505σ above its 14-day baseline across 56 articles, led by France (government); France: coverage of coercive events 3.479σ above its 14-day baseline across 73 articles, led by French (police); France: coverage of coercive events 1.703σ above its 14-day baseline across 41 articles, led by France (education).

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Latest signals

Live feed
  • 32

    Extreme heat forecast at Delhi, India — 35.5 °C

    AtmosphericDelhi, Indiasource
  • 44

    Extreme heat forecast at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — 38 °C

    AtmosphericRiyadh, Saudi Arabiasource
  • 32

    Extreme heat forecast at Delhi, India — 35.5 °C

    AtmosphericDelhi, Indiasource
  • 45

    Extreme heat forecast at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — 38.3 °C

    AtmosphericRiyadh, Saudi Arabiasource
  • 56

    Flood Watch — 1 active NWS alert in Iowa

    AtmosphericIowa, United Statessource
  • 64

    Extreme Heat Watch — 2 active NWS alerts in California

    AtmosphericCalifornia, United Statessource
  • 67

    Extreme Heat Warning — 2 active NWS alerts in California

    AtmosphericCalifornia, United Statessource
  • 55

    Extreme heat forecast at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — 40.4 °C

    AtmosphericRiyadh, Saudi Arabiasource

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Daily Brief

Latest brief published 2026-09-01 06:00 UTC with a score of 100/100.

Read 2026-09-01

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