Atmospheric24 hoursmatched
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 849 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Probability
69%
Interval
62–76%
Opens
2026-08-17 04:01 UTC
Closes
2026-08-18 04:01 UTC
Resolution rule
Fixed at publication time; this is what the outcome is graded against.
- kind
- event_in_window
- domain
- atmospheric
- metric
- severity
- description
- Resolves MATCHED when an outcome event in the atmospheric domain occurs between 2026-08-17T04:01:01.967Z and 2026-08-18T04:01:01.967Z, within 849 km of 37.9584, -103.4015, meeting or exceeding 62. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.
- min intensity
- 62
Outcome
Resolved matched on 2026-08-17 08:01 UTC with a match score of 1.00.
Matched "Flash Flood Warning alert in CO" (2026-08-17T06:42:00+00:00) with a match score of 1 (geo 1, intensity 1).
Evidence events: 6558e4fb-afa9-4573-aac0-ba9e7b9fa9bb, d0aab876-81b1-4f70-a6ee-238b93a7222a, a4305a86-2252-4c33-8f2a-dc7836add583, a43b0201-dbf7-4858-82d2-faa6eeae6865, eb3fa7a3-acd6-45e4-9c0b-1d94b68a3fe5
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Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.