Atmospheric24 hourspartial
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 521 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Probability
69%
Interval
62–76%
Opens
2026-08-16 18:01 UTC
Closes
2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
Resolution rule
Fixed at publication time; this is what the outcome is graded against.
- kind
- event_in_window
- domain
- atmospheric
- metric
- severity
- description
- Resolves MATCHED when an outcome event in the atmospheric domain occurs between 2026-08-16T18:01:01.841Z and 2026-08-17T18:01:01.841Z, within 521 km of 32.4225, 35.2831, meeting or exceeding 62. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.
- min intensity
- 62
Outcome
Resolved partial on 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC with a match score of 0.70.
Partial: "Flood Warning alert in OH" satisfied the domain and window but scored 0.7, short of the 0.75 threshold.
Evidence events: a9e4195b-1dad-483e-9899-e15e9f47e3ea
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Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.