Atmospheric24 hoursmatched
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 348 km of OK, United States in the next 24 hours.
Probability
69%
Interval
62–76%
Opens
2026-08-17 02:00 UTC
Closes
2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
Resolution rule
Fixed at publication time; this is what the outcome is graded against.
- kind
- event_in_window
- domain
- atmospheric
- metric
- severity
- description
- Resolves MATCHED when an outcome event in the atmospheric domain occurs between 2026-08-17T02:00:08.226Z and 2026-08-18T02:00:08.226Z, within 348 km of 35.3461, -96.9912, meeting or exceeding 62. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.
- min intensity
- 62
Outcome
Resolved matched on 2026-08-17 04:01 UTC with a match score of 0.89.
Matched "Flood Warning alert in KS" (2026-08-17T02:18:00+00:00) with a match score of 0.886 (geo 0.621, intensity 1).
Evidence events: be6956e7-8235-406e-b8c0-825ad3c2ed34, f6d37ec3-5e28-42d1-a613-db9b7221c9b2
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Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.