Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 846 km of OH, United States in the next 24 hours.
Probability
69%
Interval
62–76%
Opens
2026-08-17 00:02 UTC
Closes
2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
Resolution rule
Fixed at publication time; this is what the outcome is graded against.
- kind
- event_in_window
- domain
- atmospheric
- metric
- severity
- description
- Resolves MATCHED when an outcome event in the atmospheric domain occurs between 2026-08-17T00:02:43.359Z and 2026-08-18T00:02:43.359Z, within 846 km of 39.4919, -84.3095, meeting or exceeding 62. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.
- min intensity
- 62
Outcome
Resolved matched on 2026-08-17 04:01 UTC with a match score of 1.00.
Matched "Flood Warning alert in OH" (2026-08-17T03:57:00+00:00) with a match score of 1 (geo 1, intensity 1).
Evidence events: 2741c432-d72b-4b7c-89e7-e3a8c3625d08, c3fe0b09-a8b1-41d0-8e7f-e196e000422a, 45882f08-f289-4a7a-bc7d-3916ede8a72a, 5e0332a6-116b-448a-8805-5f00bda06203, aec61156-735c-4ae0-ac9c-bbdd085d3f4e, 8a95d08e-da21-46f6-b501-a0706d307573, e6262abe-0c8f-4e99-862a-a1b206047123, 72ff37ec-22cc-4db7-b75b-a7cea939dc6b, 8c45766c-a02b-421c-a72e-4588276c45f3, 63e69ff7-03b5-4c79-9ab9-d7d6b8e17025, 799a8b1d-789f-4c5f-97b8-8f831d7b9b66, be1323a2-a266-4637-b767-2d2ae33e46bc, 9aaedbd2-a6af-4457-9330-92e2f6cdfda6, 36fb26c2-1451-43ef-b75b-3fef19d45f25, fe65b4a2-fe6d-4812-bfe3-bb6ec2cf7793, 24247e43-a785-4854-8b66-fd26a051dcb8, ee0dd7e2-46fb-4409-84ba-dff484f0b2d2, 61a66560-bf15-48a1-9ee1-87d45984664e, 6b7fb0d2-5116-4662-87cb-3dada064ad16, f7579d40-8e36-47b3-beb3-3f41bfa5ca02, 0ba91342-2ba9-4bb7-b395-472ca6bd0a3a, e85298bf-991a-4080-8161-03356682dc38, 45835427-cb91-48e8-bc3a-3697b3b4387c, 9f401dd0-c623-4bfd-938a-eb14270ce1c8, 215ca971-becb-4727-9212-63c9d823b1db, febe4fb2-fe7a-4799-87c6-9f98a975d97b, 6144f1e7-4327-480a-8b06-50f4a7e27c92, 6a39d85a-beb8-45c2-a4e3-76193f138411, dc702fc1-9ec9-4a1e-9cb9-0742aad4139d, a95c1689-090f-4043-bb8c-158cbc4279e1, 0dd3da4d-ad9b-4998-ac64-0e6d85b76f90, d4faa78d-2d74-492c-813f-a13e5e53df56, 959e78ba-5950-4e98-b91d-fba9e23d4dde, c660b5f7-6232-49a6-871b-bb3039a0c282, b1e9590a-5f87-4e71-8744-014fc3db2995, 39b95ad7-5f2c-479f-9d30-33159afefba8, 5c3a3ea4-001d-4cf1-9cb5-3f8f00acf1d6, a93a1507-3324-4d97-97e2-16a1ba4d973a, e259ebac-c2be-4804-be69-c44142f340e9, a61b23ee-d825-4c30-a738-548966a64deb, be6956e7-8235-406e-b8c0-825ad3c2ed34, 4a7ed68a-4829-4c9c-9986-5fbae38be6bd, 6de99271-bbdf-446c-a8f3-e8305ec4238c, dfeafbab-9b13-450d-85b8-8f3556197c1a, 4f2a9dbd-c01c-461e-b69b-bc933a0b91b2
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Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.