Signal Ledger
Nothing is edited or deleted after publication. Resolutions are appended with their evidence.
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 849 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed last month · 2026-08-18 04:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 693 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 298 km of Jordan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 348 km of OK, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 02:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 846 km of OH, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 561 km of IL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-18 00:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 524 km of Ghana in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 305 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 290 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Sri Lanka in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 622 km of India in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Canada in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 22:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 438 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 538 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 938 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 852 km of PA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 207 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 534 km of Israel in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 20:02 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 642 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 521 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 468 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 751 km of IN, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 18:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 491 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 158 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 313 km of Russia in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 532 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 639 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 689 km of Ukraine in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 16:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 158 km of Yemen in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 517 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 620 km of Ukraine in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 329 km of Russia in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 468 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 50 km of Sudan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 517 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 604 km of Russia in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 353 km of AL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 10:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 10:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 643 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 10:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 663 km of OR, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 08:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 228 km of AL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 08:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 648 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 08:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 396 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 08:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 459 km of WY, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 646 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 495 km of TX, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 741 km of OR, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 923 km of SC, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 531 km of Austria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 743 km of NC, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 357 km of CA, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 735 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 882 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 747 km of Syria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 691 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 531 km of Austria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 356 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 826 km of CO, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 554 km of IL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 02:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 557 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 106 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 419 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 167 km of 7 km NNW of Pematangsiantar, Indonesia in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 730 km of IL, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 690 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-17 00:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 422 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 562 km of WE in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 694 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 695 km of Nigeria in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 218 km of Ukraine in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 719 km of NM, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 589 km of NE, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 20:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 655 km of AZ, United States in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 20:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Geopolitical: 67% chance of a sustained escalation in negative coverage (Tremor severity 55+) within 627 km of Pakistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 months ago · 2026-08-16 20:01 UTC
67%
60–74%
Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.