Signal Ledger
Nothing is edited or deleted after publication. Resolutions are appended with their evidence.
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 294 km of Timor-Leste (nationwide) and 272 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 14:00 UTC
78%
68–87%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 294 km of Timor-Leste (nationwide) and 272 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 294 km of Timor-Leste (nationwide) and 272 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 10 hours · 2026-10-02 14:00 UTC
67%
57–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 294 km of Timor-Leste (nationwide) and 272 km WSW of Tual, Indonesia in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 14:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 435 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 8 hours · 2026-10-02 12:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 560 km of 28 km SW of Buenos Aires, Mexico in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 8 hours · 2026-10-02 12:00 UTC
67%
57–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 560 km of 28 km SW of Buenos Aires, Mexico in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 12:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 560 km of 28 km SW of Buenos Aires, Mexico in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 12:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 560 km of 28 km SW of Buenos Aires, Mexico in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 12:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 435 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 12:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 435 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 12:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 435 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 12:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 556 km of Tokyo, Japan; 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 10:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 442 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Thailand (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 10:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 442 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Thailand (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 6 hours · 2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
67%
58–76%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 442 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Thailand (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 10:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 444 km of Pakistan (nationwide) and 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 10:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 556 km of Tokyo, Japan; 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 10:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 444 km of Pakistan (nationwide) and 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 6 hours · 2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 556 km of Tokyo, Japan; 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 10:00 UTC
68%
59–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 442 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Thailand (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 10:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 556 km of Tokyo, Japan; 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 6 hours · 2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 444 km of Pakistan (nationwide) and 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 10:00 UTC
68%
59–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 444 km of Pakistan (nationwide) and 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 10:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 363 km of 48 km WNW of Luwuk, Indonesia in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 08:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 494 km of Pakistan (nationwide); 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC
65%
57–73%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 363 km of 48 km WNW of Luwuk, Indonesia in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 4 hours · 2026-10-02 08:00 UTC
67%
57–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 363 km of 48 km WNW of Luwuk, Indonesia in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 494 km of Pakistan (nationwide); 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 4 hours · 2026-10-02 08:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 363 km of 48 km WNW of Luwuk, Indonesia in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 08:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 494 km of Pakistan (nationwide); 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 08:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 494 km of Pakistan (nationwide); 7 km ESE of Baghlān, Afghanistan and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 08:00 UTC
68%
60–76%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 2 hours · 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 14166 km of Fiji (nationwide); Fiji region and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 06:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 14166 km of Fiji (nationwide); Fiji region and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 06:00 UTC
68%
59–76%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 14166 km of Fiji (nationwide); Fiji region and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 2 hours · 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 06:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 06:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 14166 km of Fiji (nationwide); Fiji region and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 06:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 06:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 1 minute · 2026-10-02 04:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 9447 km of Fiji (nationwide) and Fiji region in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 04:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 04:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 9447 km of Fiji (nationwide) and Fiji region in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 04:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 9447 km of Fiji (nationwide) and Fiji region in the next 24 hours.
Window closes in 1 minute · 2026-10-02 04:00 UTC
67%
58–76%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 04:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 9447 km of Fiji (nationwide) and Fiji region in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 04:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 04:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 02:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 2 hours ago · 2026-10-02 02:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 02:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 360 km of Tokyo and 12 km SSE of Hasaki, Japan in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 02:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 343 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Laos (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 4 hours ago · 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC
67%
57–76%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 343 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Laos (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC
68%
58–78%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 343 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Laos (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC
65%
55–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 343 km of Cambodia (nationwide); Laos (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-10-01 00:00 UTC
78%
68–87%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 447 km of Uzbekistan (nationwide); Kyrgyzstan (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 6 hours ago · 2026-10-01 22:00 UTC
67%
57–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 447 km of Uzbekistan (nationwide); Kyrgyzstan (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 6 days · 2026-10-07 22:00 UTC
65%
55–75%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 447 km of Uzbekistan (nationwide); Kyrgyzstan (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 29 days · 2026-10-30 22:00 UTC
68%
58–78%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 447 km of Uzbekistan (nationwide); Kyrgyzstan (nationwide) and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 22:00 UTC
78%
68–87%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 614 km of Laos (nationwide); Cambodia (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 5 days · 2026-10-07 14:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 614 km of Laos (nationwide); Cambodia (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 28 days · 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 614 km of Laos (nationwide); Cambodia (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 14:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 614 km of Laos (nationwide); Cambodia (nationwide) and 2 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 14 hours ago · 2026-10-01 14:00 UTC
67%
58–76%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 474 km of El Salvador (nationwide); 142 km SSW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 16 hours ago · 2026-10-01 12:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 317 km of California, United States and 100 km W of Petrolia, CA in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 12:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 474 km of El Salvador (nationwide); 142 km SSW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 28 days · 2026-10-30 12:00 UTC
68%
59–76%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 447 km of North Macedonia (nationwide); 3 km W of Thívai, Greece and 1 more in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 16 hours ago · 2026-10-01 12:00 UTC
67%
58–76%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 474 km of El Salvador (nationwide); 142 km SSW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 12:00 UTC
78%
69–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 317 km of California, United States and 100 km W of Petrolia, CA in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 28 days · 2026-10-30 12:00 UTC
68%
59–76%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 447 km of North Macedonia (nationwide); 3 km W of Thívai, Greece and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 5 days · 2026-10-07 12:00 UTC
65%
56–74%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 474 km of El Salvador (nationwide); 142 km SSW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 5 days · 2026-10-07 12:00 UTC
65%
57–73%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 317 km of California, United States and 100 km W of Petrolia, CA in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 5 days · 2026-10-07 12:00 UTC
65%
57–73%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 447 km of North Macedonia (nationwide); 3 km W of Thívai, Greece and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 12:00 UTC
78%
69–87%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 447 km of North Macedonia (nationwide); 3 km W of Thívai, Greece and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 28 days · 2026-10-30 12:00 UTC
68%
59–77%
Seismic: 67% chance of an M5.0+ earthquake within 317 km of California, United States and 100 km W of Petrolia, CA in the next 24 hours.
Window closed 16 hours ago · 2026-10-01 12:00 UTC
67%
58–75%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 362 km of 75 km NE of Tadine, New Caledonia; 77 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 06:00 UTC
78%
70–85%
Seismic: 65% chance of an M5.5+ earthquake within 445 km of Ecuador (nationwide); 15 km SW of San Antonio, Colombia and 1 more in the next 7 days.
Window closes in 5 days · 2026-10-07 06:00 UTC
65%
57–73%
Seismic: 78% chance of an M6.5+ earthquake on 3 separate days within 445 km of Ecuador (nationwide); 15 km SW of San Antonio, Colombia and 1 more in the next 12 months.
Window closes in 12 months · 2027-09-30 06:00 UTC
78%
70–86%
Seismic: 68% chance of an M6.0+ earthquake on 2 separate days within 445 km of Ecuador (nationwide); 15 km SW of San Antonio, Colombia and 1 more in the next 30 days.
Window closes in 28 days · 2026-10-30 06:00 UTC
68%
60–76%
Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.