Atmospheric24 hoursmatched
Atmospheric: 69% chance of at least one NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert within 517 km of ID, United States in the next 24 hours.
Probability
69%
Interval
62–76%
Opens
2026-08-16 12:01 UTC
Closes
2026-08-17 12:01 UTC
Resolution rule
Fixed at publication time; this is what the outcome is graded against.
- kind
- event_in_window
- domain
- atmospheric
- metric
- severity
- description
- Resolves MATCHED when an outcome event in the atmospheric domain occurs between 2026-08-16T12:01:01.415Z and 2026-08-17T12:01:01.415Z, within 517 km of 44.1823, -115.9628, meeting or exceeding 62. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.
- min intensity
- 62
Outcome
Resolved matched on 2026-08-17 00:02 UTC with a match score of 1.00.
Matched "Severe Thunderstorm Warning alert in OR" (2026-08-16T22:43:00+00:00) with a match score of 1 (geo 1, intensity 1).
Evidence events: 8858cc22-e22c-4450-a194-5257a171061e, 7b9a5fe8-066b-49c3-b541-7a18a9853b37
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Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings, and is not an emergency service. For official alerts follow USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC or your national authority.