Economic: 64% chance of a financial-stress reading beyond 2.5 standard deviations on 2 separate days within 338 km of Texas, United States and Mexico (nationwide) in the next 30 days.

kind

event_in_window

domain

economic

metric

z_score

description

Resolves MATCHED when outcome events on 2 separate days in the economic domain occur between 2026-10-01T20:00:33.414Z and 2026-10-31T20:00:33.414Z, within 338 km of 28.4197, -100.0052, meeting or exceeding 2.5. Otherwise EXPIRED_MISS at window close.

min intensity

2.5

min event count

2

The window is still open. Tremor grades this automatically against independently ingested outcome events once it closes — the probability above is never revised.