Daily Brief · 2026-08-29

TREMOR DAILY BRIEF — 2026-08-29

Global Tremor Score: 100/100 (critical). 443 signals ingested in the last 24 hours.

WHERE SIGNALS ARE CONVERGING

• Gulf coastal waters, Atlantic coastal waters and 3 more, United States — 100/100 across Atmospheric + Economic (base 100).

Gulf coastal waters, Atlantic coastal waters and 3 more, United States is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (atmospheric, economic), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Special Marine Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Gulf coastal waters; Special Marine Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Atlantic coastal waters; Severe Thunderstorm Warning — 1 active NWS alert in South Carolina; Severe Thunderstorm Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Georgia.

• Malaysia (nationwide), Singapore (nationwide) and 1 more — 100/100 across Economic + Geopolitical (base 100).

Malaysia (nationwide), Singapore (nationwide) and 1 more is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Malaysia: coverage of coercive events 6.841σ above its 14-day baseline across 36 articles, led by Malaysia; Singapore: coverage of coercive events 2.657σ above its 14-day baseline across 15 articles, led by Deputy (police); Singapore: coverage of coercive events 2.679σ above its 14-day baseline across 15 articles, led by Deputy (police); Indonesia: coverage of coercive events 4.017σ above its 14-day baseline across 45 articles, led by Police (police).

• Gulf coastal waters, South Carolina and 4 more, United States — 100/100 across Atmospheric + Economic (base 100).

Gulf coastal waters, South Carolina and 4 more, United States is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (atmospheric, economic), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Special Marine Warning — 2 active NWS alerts in Gulf coastal waters; Flash Flood Warning — 1 active NWS alert in South Carolina; Flash Flood Warning — 1 active NWS alert in North Carolina; Special Marine Warning — 1 active NWS alert in Atlantic coastal waters.

• Zambia (nationwide), Malawi (nationwide) and 1 more — 100/100 across Economic + Geopolitical (base 100).

Zambia (nationwide), Malawi (nationwide) and 1 more is scoring 100/100. 2 domains overlap here (economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Zambia: coverage of coercive events 6.366σ above its 14-day baseline across 33 articles, led by The Opposition (political opposition); Zambia: coverage of coercive events 11.786σ above its 14-day baseline across 60 articles, led by Security Officer (police); Malawi: coverage of coercive events 6.328σ above its 14-day baseline across 36 articles, led by Minist Of Local Government (government); Zimbabwe: coverage of coercive events 3.146σ above its 14-day baseline across 20 articles, led by Media (media).

• Germany (nationwide); Denmark (nationwide) and 5 more — 100/100 across Atmospheric + Economic + Geopolitical (base 100).

Germany (nationwide); Denmark (nationwide) and 5 more is scoring 100/100. 3 domains overlap here (atmospheric, economic, geopolitical), applying a 1.00× convergence multiplier to a base score of 100. Contributing signals: Germany: coverage of coercive events 2.953σ above its 14-day baseline across 34 articles, led by German; France: coverage of coercive events 2.548σ above its 14-day baseline across 31 articles, led by France; Denmark: coverage of coercive events 2.694σ above its 14-day baseline across 14 articles, led by Ukraine; Germany: coverage of coercive events 2.023σ above its 14-day baseline across 25 articles, led by Germany.

OUTLOOKS OPENED

• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 411 km of Maine, United States; New York, United States and 1 more in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-29 00:00 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 715 km of Pennsylvania, United States; West Virginia, United States and 16 more in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-28 10:01 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 754 km of Montana, United States; Wyoming, United States and 2 more in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-28 08:01 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 456 km of Gulf coastal waters, United States and Cuba (nationwide) in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-28 20:00 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 180 km of Gulf coastal waters, United States and Cuba (nationwide) in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-29 02:01 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 297 km of Maine, United States and Canada (nationwide) in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-29 04:00 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 685 km of North Carolina, Atlantic offshore waters and 8 more, United States in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-28 20:00 UTC.
• [12 months] Atmospheric: 84% chance of an NWS Severe-or-higher weather alert on 3 separate days within 439 km of California and Utah, United States in the next 12 months. Window closes 2027-08-28 18:01 UTC.

WHAT RESOLVED

• No prediction windows closed in this period.

CALIBRATION

• Resolved predictions: 0. Brier score: n/a. Hit rate above 50% confidence: n/a.
• No resolved predictions yet.

SOURCE HEALTH

• 7 healthy, 0 degraded, 1 down.

Tremor publishes probabilities, not warnings. For official alerts always follow your national agency (USGS, NOAA/NWS, NASA SWPC, or your local civil-protection authority).